What happened: Iran’s armed forces warn Gulf countries about supporting U.S. military operations

Iran’s armed forces warned Gulf countries not to assist or facilitate U.S. military operations. Iran’s armed forces argued that Gulf assistance for U.S. operations would amount to participation on the U.S. side of a conflict.

Iran’s armed forces chief of staff questioned whether Gulf bases—especially bases with refuelling aircraft—could host military aircraft without host-country awareness.

Iran’s warning was described as coming soon after the United Arab Emirates announced severing economic ties with Iran, with the UAE citing alleged attacks on shipping near the UAE coast.

Background: why the Strait of Hormuz remains a flashpoint

The Strait of Hormuz remains a flashpoint because many regional ports depend on passage through the strait for commercial movement. The background risk picture includes Iran’s earlier blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.