The India Meteorological Department has forecast dry conditions across most parts of India until the end of July 2026. The forecast is important because subdued rainfall during the southwest monsoon can affect crop sowing, soil moisture, drinking water sources, and short-term economic activity.

What the forecast says

The India Meteorological Department expects rainfall activity to remain limited in many monsoon-affected regions through the rest of the month. The forecast also indicates that some areas may receive only local or scattered showers, while the broader pattern is likely to stay dry.

Why the forecast matters

A weak or delayed monsoon can create stress for agriculture and water availability. The forecast is also relevant for urban water supply, reservoir inflows, and heat and humidity conditions in affected regions.